Former President Donald Trump (left) and Vice President Kamal Harris
Reuters
Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former president Donald Trump In key battleground states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, according to a new report The New York Times/Siena College polling.
The poll found Harris beat Trump 50% to 46% among likely voters in the three states, though those leads were still within the survey’s margin of error. Likely voters are part of the entire pool of registered voters surveyed.
The poll surveyed 619 registered voters in Michigan and 661 registered voters in Wisconsin from Monday through Thursday. The poll surveyed 693 registered Pennsylvania voters from Tuesday through Friday.
Looking at respondents across all registered voters, the head-to-head results were slightly different: Harris held a four-point lead in Wisconsin, but led by three in Pennsylvania and actually trailed Trump by three in Michigan.
The Times/Siena poll is the latest data point tracking the broader reshuffle that has occurred since President Joe Biden Withdrew from the race in July and endorsed Harris Take over as the Democratic presidential candidate. While polls still show the two candidates in a close race, Harris has clearly fundamentally changed the shape of the race from a month ago.
In the weeks following Biden’s exit, Harris made up much of the Democrats’ lost poll support, even taking over Trump’s lead in some cases.
exist possibleeven before the president Disastrous June debate performanceThe Times/Siena poll found Biden in a perfect tie with Trump in Wisconsin. Biden trails the Republican presidential candidate in both Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Even after the Democratic reshuffle, one result remains the same: economy Becoming the most important voter issue among registered voters.
Recession worries The focus began last week after stocks plunged on Monday and struggled to recoup their losses in the days that followed. The market fell in part because of a weaker-than-expected jobs report, which raised concerns that the Fed’s failure to cut interest rates would put too much pressure on the economy.
Trump holds a nine-point lead among voters over Harris’ handling of the economy, according to a Times/Siena poll.
The Times/Siena investigation also comes as voters deal with Harris’ choice for running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, whom she selected on Tuesday after a rigorous vetting process. Although Walz had little national visibility just two weeks ago, he has catapulted into the spotlight for his outspoken media interviews, affable demeanor and turn to politics after working as a high school teacher.
Despite Walz’s highly progressive policy record, some Democrats see his rural Midwestern background as an opportunity to expand the Democratic coalition.
The Times/Siena poll found that Walz’s approval rating among registered voters was 36%, the same as Trump’s running mate, Ohio Senator J.D. Vance. However, only 27% of respondents viewed Walz negatively, while 46% viewed Vance negatively.
Since launching her presidential campaign, enthusiasm for Harris has surged as polls have increased, with donation levels hitting record highs, new volunteer signups and crowds filling arenas at rallies.
With 87 days until the election and even less time until early voting, the Harris campaign has been working to ensure that the initial hype translates into real votes at the ballot box.
“We’re at a disadvantage in this race, but we have momentum and I know exactly what we’re facing,” Harris told a rally of more than 12,000 people in Philadelphia on Wednesday.
