Tuesday, January 7, 2025
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No Santa Claus rally, but that’s not necessarily bad news | Real Time Headlines

Traders work on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange on January 2, 2025, the first day of trading this year.

Spencer Pratt | Getty Images

This report comes from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open keeps investors updated on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you need to know today

A tough week for trading
US stocks
Friday’s rise But it still ended the week lower. The S&P 500 energy sector bucked the trend, rising more than 3% for the week. Asia Pacific market Mixed Monday. South Korea’s Kospi rose nearly 2% ongoing political uncertainty. Although the CSI 300 Index fell about 0.6% Caixin Services Purchasing Managers Index The pace of expansion in December was the fastest in seven months.

Boeing’s rebuilding year
boeing company It has not reported an annual profit since 2018, which saw the first of two fatal crashes 737 Max crash Resulting in 346 deaths. An unused emergency exit door a year ago blown out in mid-air A nearly new Boeing 737 Max 9 from Alaska Airlines. New CEO Kelly Ortberg, who started as CEO in August, will be tasked with ensuring Boeing can increase production and maintain quality. This is how is he doing.

Microsoft invests heavily in data centers
Microsoft plan Spending $80 billion in fiscal 2025 The company said in a statement on Friday that it is building data centers capable of handling artificial intelligence workloads. blog post. Microsoft Vice Chairman and President Brad Smith writes that more than half of expected AI infrastructure spending will occur in the United States. Microsoft’s fiscal year 2025 will end in June.

Sweeping the vacuum cleaner competition?
Shares of Chinese robot vacuum cleaner company Roborock rose more than 3% on Monday after the disclosure. a new model Comes with a folding arm for clearing socks and other obstructions. Its attachments are powered by artificial intelligence developed by the company, which has a lab in Shanghai and a research institute in Shenzhen.

(PRO) Watch December jobs report
Massive economic data This week will see the release of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting minutes on Wednesday and the December employment report on Friday. While neither is likely to change the Fed’s interest rate decision at its January meeting, they could provide greater clarity on the Fed’s actions in 2025.

bottom line

U.S. markets rose on Friday, but those hoping for holiday cheer were disappointed.

Friday, S&P 500 Index increased by 1.26%, Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.8%, Nasdaq Index up 1.77%. Still, the losses seen in previous sessions — the S&P and Nasdaq had posted five consecutive days of declines before Friday — were too much to bear. This week, the S&P fell 0.48%, the Dow fell 0.60%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.51%.

That means so-called Santa Claus rallies, a phenomenon in which stocks rise during the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next, are not happening in the market this year.

Santa’s absence this year may indicate The stock market will be more difficult in the future As the late founder of Yale Hirsch Stock Trader’s Almanac 1968, explain“If Santa hadn’t called, the bears might have come to Broad and Wall.”

That is, over-belief in such signals may be equivalent to adults believing that Santa Claus actually leaves a PlayStation under the tree because we are all good kids.

As we grow older and realize that it is money that brings us gifts, it is necessary to remember that the stock market is a bet on how much cash a company can bring in.

In that respect, UBSDavid Lefkowitz, the bank’s chief investment officer for U.S. equities, is optimistic. “We expect the bull market to continue, with the S&P 500 reaching 6,600 by year-end, driven primarily by healthy profit growth of 9%,” Lefkowitz wrote in a recent note. He The price target implies an upside of about 11% from Friday’s closing price.

Now, this is a gift so precious that no one, real or imagined, can give it.

—CNBC’s Fred Imbert, Pia Singh, Sean Conlon, Jesse Pound and Sarah Min contributed to this report.

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